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Friday, August 12, 2005

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Downtrend confirmed again

The market did indeed breach the low of NAZZ 2152. The downtrend is solidly in place. Even if the market were to rally this afternoon, the fact that we made a new low suggests that short sellers will use strength to sell into. The breadth is lousy which is starting to indicate that fear is building up. Consumer sentiment numbers were released and didn't help the situation either.

There is good support on the NAZZ around 2135. We hope to start slowly deploying some of our cash around the 2140 level. This will most likely be a little early but that is why we choose to scale. Ideally we will get to a more neutral position of around 50% - 60% invested within a NAZZ target range of 2100 - 2140. Again keep in mind that we are prepared to buy at higher prices should the internals improve, especially since we are finally starting to smell some fear.

We are putting together our shopping list of stocks to buy. Hope you have cash and are doing the same.

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