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Wednesday, August 17, 2005

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The stock market under whelmed us today

The market did indeed close higher today yet we were under whelmed by the internals. The breadth on the NASDAQ was slightly positive but the NYSE was not exactly minty. Semiconductors led and key tell stocks such as Applied Materials (symbol: AMAT) and Hewlett Packard (symbol: HPQ) did noticeably well.

The Problem with this rally continues to be the poor internals that we have been harping on. While it is nice to see the Semi's showing leadership, it is necessary for the Small Caps to also do well. Today, Small Caps were M.I.A. Overall volume was light however, matched yesterday's volume. That is at least better than the old pattern of heavy volume on down days and lighter volume on up days.

One of our major concerns with today's rally is the overall lack of vigor that was exhibited. In fact, traders sold the market near the close on a huge volume spike. The stock market had some positive catalysts today specifically a sharp drop in Oil, solid bellwether technology earnings reports, and an oversold condition, yet was only able to muster this Dead-Cat bounce.

If You Held A Taser To Our Head: We would consider buying a dip in the morning with tight stops for a potential continuation of this Dead-cat bounce. Our target would be between 2165 and 2170 on the NASDAQ. For the most part we remain defensively positioned.

-Have A Good Night-

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